Donald Trump: Weekly window, Jun 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
12 known appearances10 of 12 known appearances transcribed Window: Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 29, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 156 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (29 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Jun 22, 2026 Remarks on Signing Executive Orders on Quantum Technologies and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 23, 2026 Remarks on Affordability in Macungie, Pennsylvania Official transcript
- Jun 23, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival in Reading, Pennsylvania Official transcript
- Jun 24, 2026 Donald Trump: America is Back Rally no transcript source yet
- Jun 24, 2026 Remarks at the Great American State Fair Official transcript
- Jun 24, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Secretary General Mark Rutte of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Road to Housing Act signing transcript pending
- Jun 24, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to a Senate Republican Steering Committee Lunch Official transcript
- Jun 25, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Louisiana Republican Senatorial Candidate Representative Julia Letlow Official transcript
- Jun 25, 2026 Remarks at a Rose Garden Club Dinner With Farmers Official transcript
- Jun 26, 2026 Remarks at the Faith and Freedom Coalition 2026 Policy Conference Official transcript
- Jun 26, 2026 Remarks Following the Presentation of a Religious Liberty Commission Report and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
Markets
32 words · 19 settled yes · our count agreed on 19 of 20- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 15 | 15 | ✓ | 84%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 15 | 15 | ✓ | 74%n=260 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 12 | 12 | ✓ | 79%n=147 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 67%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 83%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 78%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 62%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 67%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| 22 | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Windmill | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 48%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 46%n=78 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 56%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 68%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 67%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 64%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Pulte | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 56%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| American Flag Blue | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 51%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | No | 1 | 3 | ✗ | 68%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | – | 60%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | No | – | 0 | – | 55%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Juneteenth | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | – | 41%n=122 from settlement history | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | – | 0 | – | 36%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | – | 32%n=407 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | No | – | 0 | – | 31%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | – | 0 | – | 29%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | No | – | 0 | – | 26%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | No | – | 0 | – | 19%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | – | 15%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | – | 13%n=47 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP