Donald Trump: Monthly window, May 31, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say in May?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: May 1, 2026 to May 31, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
30 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar-a-Lago | Yes | – | 0 | 59%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ISIS | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Pulitzer | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bunker | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Robot | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Terminate the Filibuster | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pope | Yes | – | 0 | 41%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator / Discombobulated | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cat | No | – | 0 | 55%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 53%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Darth Vader | No | – | 0 | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Asshole | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Barack Hussein Obamacare | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Big Bang | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Favorite Chart | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iwo Jima | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Neville / Chamberlain | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prediction Market | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pizza | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| White House Faith Office | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Christmas | No | – | 0 | 46%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Braggadocious | No | – | 0 | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Egghead | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Skedaddle | No | – | 0 | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Nuke | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | 39%n=109 from settlement history | – |
| America Last | No | – | 0 | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 20%n=29 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-may · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP