Donald Trump: Weekly window, Apr 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (April 26)
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Apr 20, 2026 to Apr 27, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
43 words · 23 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 82%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 78%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | – | 0 | 76%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 75%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| 50,000 | Yes | – | 0 | 75%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 75%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | – | 0 | 74%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 71%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | Yes | – | 0 | 68%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Genius | Yes | – | 0 | 66%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | – | 0 | 63%n=203 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | – | 0 | 63%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | – | 0 | 61%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | – | 0 | 58%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| The War Is Over | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=107 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 38%n=342 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Excursion / Journey | Yes | – | 0 | 34%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | Yes | – | 0 | 13%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | No | – | 0 | 70%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | No | – | 0 | 68%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Allah | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | No | – | 0 | 64%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | – | 0 | 61%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Strait / Strait of Trump | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| DoorDash / McDonald's | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pope | No | – | 0 | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Shit | No | – | 0 | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | – | 0 | 50%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| UFC / Dana White | No | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| My Father / Fred | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Death to America | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pope / Leo | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tough Cookie | No | – | 0 | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Boy oh boy | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nobel | No | – | 0 | 38%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Discombobulator | No | – | 0 | 23%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | No | – | 0 | 15%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Dome | No | – | 0 | 14%n=27 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26APR27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP