Will Donald Trump say “Inflation”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Inflation” at 28 of 67 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 3, 2024 (42%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=67, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

46%from settlement history only · n=67counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Inflation

Probability
46% · n=67
Settled
28/67 (42%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker27:40In transcript

…everything is gone, including their economy. The only thing not gone is inflation. They have 301 percent as of this morning. The -- their money…

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026InflationKalshiYes1
Oct 20, 2026InflationKalshiNo0
Oct 7, 2026InflationKalshiNo–
Oct 1, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Sep 30, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Sep 30, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Sep 29, 2026InflationKalshiNo–
Sep 28, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Sep 17, 2026InflationPolymarketNo0
Sep 17, 2026InflationKalshiNo0
Sep 12, 2026InflationPolymarketNo0
Sep 11, 2026InflationKalshiNo–
Sep 10, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Sep 8, 2026InflationKalshiNo0
Aug 4, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
May 15, 2026InflationPolymarketNo–
Apr 17, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Apr 16, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Apr 15, 2026InflationPolymarketNo–
Apr 1, 2026InflationKalshiNo–
Mar 26, 2026InflationKalshiNo–
Mar 9, 2026InflationKalshiNo–
Feb 21, 2026InflationKalshiNo–
Feb 7, 2026InflationKalshiNo–
Feb 5, 2026InflationPolymarketNo–
Jan 21, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Jan 14, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Jan 11, 2026InflationPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Jan 7, 2026InflationKalshiYes–
Dec 29, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Dec 25, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Dec 24, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Dec 23, 2025InflationPolymarketNo–
Dec 23, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Dec 22, 2025InflationPolymarketNo–
Dec 20, 2025InflationKalshiYes–
Dec 19, 2025InflationPolymarketNo–
Dec 19, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Dec 17, 2025InflationPolymarketYes–
Dec 16, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Dec 12, 2025InflationKalshiYes–
Dec 9, 2025InflationKalshiYes–
Dec 7, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Dec 5, 2025InflationPolymarketNo–
Dec 4, 2025InflationPolymarketNo–
Dec 4, 2025InflationKalshiYes–
Dec 3, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Dec 2, 2025InflationKalshiYes–
Nov 28, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Nov 26, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Nov 25, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Nov 22, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Nov 20, 2025InflationKalshiYes–
Nov 19, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Nov 18, 2025InflationKalshiYes–
Nov 11, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Nov 4, 2025InflationKalshiYes–
Nov 4, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Oct 25, 2025InflationKalshiNo–
Aug 8, 2025InflationKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Inflation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Inflation” at 28 of 67 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 3, 2024 (42%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Inflation” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=67). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP