Donald Trump: Interview, Mar 26, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
19 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 62%n=215 from settlement history | – |
| ID / Identification | Yes | 58%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 57%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 52%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | 48%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiation | Yes | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | No | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | No | 53%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Eight War | No | 53%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 51%n=150 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 43%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 41%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | No | 39%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba | No | 37%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 37%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 36%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 29%n=12 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAR26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP