Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 26, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Turkey Pardon Ceremony?
Markets
22 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 69%n=112 from settlement history | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | Yes | 52%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 51%n=78 from settlement history | – |
| Walmart | Yes | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left / Far Left | Yes | 44%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Gobble | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lucky | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Waddle | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | 40%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | Yes | 33%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | Yes | 31%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 72%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 53%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 52%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | No | 50%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Cheaper | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Second Chance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stuffing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pilgrim | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | 32%n=20 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP