Donald Trump: Weekly window, Jan 11, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (January 11)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Jan 5, 2026 to Jan 11, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
15 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ass / Shit | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 65%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 58%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud / Scam | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Colombia | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New Year | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kennedy / Autism | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cognitive | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | – | 0 | 38%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Blue Slip | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Day Care / Daycare | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Six Seven | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Atlantic | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| FIFA | No | – | 0 | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Anniversary | No | – | 0 | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-january-11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP