Will Donald Trump say “Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis” at 8 of 67 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 1, 2025 (12%), most recently on Oct 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=67, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

20%from settlement history only · n=67Next: Weekly window, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
10¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cannabis%20%2F%20marijuana%20%2F%20weed

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis

Probability
20% · n=67
Settled
8/67 (12%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 18, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
Oct 11, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
Oct 4, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 8 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 27, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 11 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 20, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 13, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (16 of 18 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 6, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 31, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo–
Aug 30, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 23, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 16, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (6 of 8 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 9, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 2, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisPolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 15 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 2, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 15 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 26, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisPolymarketYes1
Jul 26, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiYes1
Jul 19, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 12 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 12, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 5, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed))
Jun 28, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 12 known appearances transcribed))
Jun 21, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (9 of 13 known appearances transcribed))
Jun 14, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Jun 7, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 5 known appearances transcribed))
May 31, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 24, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 18, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo–
May 17, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 10, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 3, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 26, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 19, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 12, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 5, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 29, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 22, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 15, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 8, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 1, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 28, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 22, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 15, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 8, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 2, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Feb 1, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (1 of 1 known appearance transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window))
Jan 25, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (1 of 1 known appearance transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window))
Jan 18, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Jan 12, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Jan 5, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Jan 1, 2026Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 29, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 22, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 15, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 13, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo–
Dec 8, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 1, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 1, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 24, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 17, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 10, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 3, 2025Marijuana / Weed / CannabisKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis” at 8 of 67 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 1, 2025 (12%), most recently on Oct 11, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis” next time?
20%, from settlement history (n=67). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/cannabis-or-marijuana-or-weed (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cannabis%20%2F%20marijuana%20%2F%20weed · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP