Donald Trump: Weekly window, Aug 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
9 known appearances5 of 9 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 212 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (26 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Aug 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Tele-Rallies on August 24 transcript pending
- Aug 24, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone Official transcript
- Aug 24, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Mike Mazzei Official transcript
- Aug 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Rose Garden event transcript pending
- Aug 24, 2026 Remarks at a White House Back-to-School Event Official transcript
- Aug 25, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Aug 27, 2026 Remarks on Signing an Executive Order Honoring the American History of the Great Lakes and Renaming Lake Ontario as Lake America and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 28, 2026 Remarks During a Teleconference With National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Astronauts Aboard the International Space Station From Houston, Texas Official transcript
- Aug 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Sunday Night in America transcript pending
Markets
31 words · 12 settled yes · our count agreed on 9 of 9- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD / Vance | Yes | 6 | 10 | ✓ | 38%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 5 | 7 | ✓ | 74%n=218 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 85%n=107 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 2 | 6 | ✓ | 72%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 63%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | Yes | 2 | 15 | ✓ | 54%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 65%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 61%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 26%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | Yes | – | 0 | – | 71%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | – | 0 | – | 64%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Yes | – | 0 | – | 63%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | No | – | 0 | – | 79%n=160 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | No | – | 1 | – | 75%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | No | – | 0 | – | 69%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | No | – | 0 | – | 68%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | – | 3 | – | 65%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | No | – | 0 | – | 65%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | – | 0 | – | 57%n=67 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | No | – | 0 | – | 53%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | – | 53%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| TikTok | No | – | 0 | – | 48%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Soleimani | No | – | 0 | – | 47%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | – | 0 | – | 46%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 2 | – | 35%n=486 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | – | 2 | – | 31%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid Question | No | – | 0 | – | 26%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 1 | – | 21%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | – | 0 | – | 18%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | No | – | 0 | – | 17%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | – | 0 | – | 15%n=47 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-26AUG31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP