Donald Trump: Weekly window, Nov 10, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Nov 3, 2025 to Nov 10, 2025. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
21 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 73%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | Yes | – | 0 | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Manhattan | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 35%n=160 from settlement history | – |
| Melania | No | – | 0 | 67%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | No | – | 0 | 57%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Slopadopoulos | No | – | 0 | 52%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Argentina | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kim Jong Un | No | – | 0 | 41%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | – | 0 | 41%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| TikTok | No | – | 0 | 29%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel | No | – | 0 | 26%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | No | – | 0 | 25%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAY-25NOV10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP