Will JD Vance say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 10 of 60 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2025 (17%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=60, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. No rallies among them yet.

18%from settlement history only · n=60Next: Rally, Oct 26, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
12¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JD Vance

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Probability
18% · n=60
Settled
10/60 (17%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 3 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 29:16In transcript

…that if the Democrats take control of Congress, we will lose the AI race to China, but we'll also lose a lot else. You will…

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, May 19, 2026 · May 19, 2026 · 19:44In transcript

Well, I mean, I think when the Pope issues its encyclical on artificial intelligence, it's going to have some influence. I, of course, don't know…

JD VanceotherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Oct. 1, 2025 · Oct 1, 2025 · 23:36In transcript

…major TV stations put the meme up and then say this is AI generated, and he had curly animated mustache too. Do the American people,…

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Oct 20, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Oct 19, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Oct 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Oct 15, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Oct 9, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Oct 5, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Oct 1, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Oct 1, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Sep 30, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Sep 29, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Sep 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Sep 18, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Sep 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Sep 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Sep 9, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo
Sep 9, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Sep 3, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Aug 24, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo
Aug 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Aug 13, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Aug 8, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jul 8, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jul 1, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jun 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jun 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jun 16, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Jun 16, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jun 16, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jun 16, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jun 15, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jun 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jun 4, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
May 29, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
May 28, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketYes
May 28, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
May 26, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
May 19, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
May 18, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
May 16, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
May 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
May 13, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
May 5, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Apr 30, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Apr 29, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Apr 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Apr 7, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Apr 7, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Apr 1, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Mar 27, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Mar 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Mar 13, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Feb 27, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Feb 5, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jan 23, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jan 22, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo
Jan 8, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Dec 21, 2025AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo
Dec 17, 2025AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 10 of 60 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2025 (17%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026.
What is the probability JD Vance says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
18%, from settlement history (n=60). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP