JD Vance: Interview, Jan 8, 2026
Kalshi What will JD Vance say during his Fox News appearance?
Markets
20 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 67%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 58%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| California | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Security | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walz | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Maduro | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Woke / DEI | Yes | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 43%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 41%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shirley | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | 37%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Middle Class / Working Class | No | 33%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 31%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 17%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXVANCEMENTION-26JAN08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP