JD Vance: Interview, Jun 17, 2026
Kalshi What will JD Vance say during CBS Mornings?
Markets
17 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 64%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 56%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 52%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | 52%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Pope | Yes | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 29%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 54%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Usha | No | 42%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | No | 37%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 36%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 35%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 33%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 33%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 17%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 14%n=37 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXVANCEMENTION-26JUN17B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP