JD Vance: Press conference, Oct 21, 2026
Kalshi What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference?
Markets
25 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 81%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 69%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | Yes | 64%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Taxpayer | Yes | 64%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| California | Yes | 45%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Food Stamp / SNAP | Yes | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 65%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 64%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 59%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Hospice | No | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | No | 56%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | No | 55%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 53%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 49%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 48%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class / Middle Class | No | 44%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | 44%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 42%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Shirley | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Small Business | No | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 31%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 29%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ID / Identification | No | 27%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 25%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 21%n=51 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 16:33 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXVANCEMENTION-26OCT21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP