JD Vance: Remarks, May 29, 2026
Kalshi What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Denver?
Markets
26 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | No | 71%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 66%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 63%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 61%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 58%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | No | 57%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 54%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | 53%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 51%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Campaign | No | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacturing | No | 44%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 43%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Usha | No | 38%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| SAVE Act / SAVE America | No | 38%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 32%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 29%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 26%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | 24%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | No | 19%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| ID / Identification | No | 19%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 19%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Free Speech / Freedom of Speech | No | 18%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 17%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 17%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 15%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 15%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXVANCEMENTION-26MAY29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP