Will Donald Trump say “Bibi / Netanyahu”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bibi / Netanyahu” at 34 of 72 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 12, 2025 (47%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=72, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

62%from settlement history only · n=72Next: Weekly window, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
61¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Bibi / Netanyahu

Probability
62% · n=72
Settled
34/72 (47%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

The PressreporterDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:31:16In transcript

On Israel/Iran, can you fill us in on what Secretary Hegseth spoke about with Prime Minister Netanyahu?

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 18, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes11
Oct 11, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
Oct 4, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (0 of 8 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 27, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes2
Sep 20, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 13, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes1
Sep 6, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 30, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 23, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 16, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (6 of 8 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 9, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 2, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuPolymarketYes4
Aug 2, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes7
Jul 28, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuPolymarketNo0
Jul 26, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuPolymarketYes4
Jul 26, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes5
Jul 19, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (8 of 12 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 16, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo0
Jul 14, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo–
Jul 12, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes9
Jul 8, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes3
Jul 5, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed))
Jun 28, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes1
Jun 23, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo0
Jun 21, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes18
Jun 20, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes–
Jun 17, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes9
Jun 17, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo0
Jun 16, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo0
Jun 16, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes6
Jun 15, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuPolymarketNo0
Jun 15, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuPolymarketYes–
Jun 14, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (6 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Jun 10, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo0
Jun 7, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes9
Jun 7, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo–
Jun 5, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo0
Jun 4, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes2
May 31, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 24, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 17, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 10, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
May 8, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo–
May 5, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo–
May 3, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 26, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 19, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 12, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 8, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Apr 5, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Apr 1, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuPolymarketNo–
Apr 1, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo–
Mar 29, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 22, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 17, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuPolymarketNo–
Mar 16, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiNo–
Mar 15, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 11, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuPolymarketNo–
Mar 11, 2026Bibi / NetanyahuPolymarketNo–
Mar 9, 2026BIBI / NetanyahuKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Bibi / Netanyahu”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bibi / Netanyahu” at 34 of 72 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 12, 2025 (47%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bibi / Netanyahu” next time?
62%, from settlement history (n=72). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bibi / Netanyahu’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bibi-or-netanyahu (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bibi%20%2F%20netanyahu · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP