Donald Trump: Rally, Jul 28, 2026
At the rally on Jul 28, 2026, Donald Trump said 12 of the 30 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 30 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
30 words · 12 settled yes · our count agreed on 30 of 30- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 66%n=178 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 54%n=207 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 50%n=187 from settlement history | – |
| Save America | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 63%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 56%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 52%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 51%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Poll | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 2+ times | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 72%n=310 from settlement history | – |
| Voter ID | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Open Border | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 63%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 63%n=190 from settlement history | – |
| Landslide | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Obama | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Freedom | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 48%n=139 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=299 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=204 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 11%n=456 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…way, I do Iran because we cannot allow them to have a nuclear weapon. Very simple. They are somewhat crazy. I'm being nice. You cannot…
…the country, more than ever built in history. I did that through tariffs, and the tariffs are—you don't have to pay tariffs if you build…
And as you also understand, no men in women's sports and no transgender mutilization of your children. The transgender surgery is absolutely ridiculous, and we're…
…our point along. And also, you know, we have something called the SAVE America Act, and that's about saving America. Very simply, we have to…
…tremendous victory in the midterms. We've got to win the midterms and keep—and they really, literally, have turned out to be Communists—keep the Communists out.
…gave him a very early endorsement. And it's Tennessee's Fifth Congressional District. Polls open at 7 a.m., and they close at 7 p.m. So go…
…do a job that's very, very tough: getting some of the criminals—getting all of the criminals out that Biden allowed in through the open borders.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-07-28:rally-tele-andy-ogles · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-07-28:rally-tele-andy-ogles · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP