Donald Trump: Meet the Press, Jun 7, 2026
On the Jun 7, 2026 episode of Donald Trump, Donald Trump said 15 of the 29 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
29 words · 15 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 64%n=152 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 60%n=155 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 59%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 57%n=262 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 56%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| First Term | Yes | 54%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Deal / Settle | Yes | 53%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 53%n=100 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 52%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | 48%n=110 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 48%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 45%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 43%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | Yes | 42%n=246 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | 23%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 53%n=136 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 47%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Fed / Warsh | No | 45%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Dumbocrat / Dumocrat | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 40%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | 39%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | No | 37%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 34%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 33%n=160 from settlement history | – |
| Gold | No | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 27%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Highest Inflation | No | 23%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 13%n=387 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-07:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-07:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP