Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 11, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during TrumpRX Ohio visit?
Markets
28 words · 0 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Space Force | No | 60%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | 56%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | No | 52%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| State of the Union | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tanker | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Football | No | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Hezbollah / Hamas | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | No | 42%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Drug 15+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ozempic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Obamacare | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| McKinley | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Percent 20+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vivek / Ramaswamy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fat | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Eli Lilly | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| IVF | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Yemen / Houthi | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | No | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Biden 7+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Most Favored Nation | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| UK / United Kingdom | No | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz / Red Sea | No | 31%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Kurd / Kurdish | No | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | 27%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | No | 23%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-trumprx-ohio-visit · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP