Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 11, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during Kentucky visit?
Markets
27 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 68%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | Yes | 52%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Clean coal / Beautiful coal | Yes | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Sucker / Loser | Yes | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | Yes | 46%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Biden / Obama 7+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Job 20+ times | Yes | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 7+ times | Yes | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 27+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Win Win Win | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chicken / KFC | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 46%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Tanker | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hezbollah / Hamas | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fat Shot / Ozempic | No | 42%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro / Delcy | No | 42%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Automatic / Automatically | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cheat | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Yemen / Houthi | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Discombobulator / Discombobulated / Discombobulating | No | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 32%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | 32%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz / Red Sea | No | 31%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Kurd / Kurdish | No | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| RINO | No | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | 27%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | No | 23%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-kentucky-visit · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP