Will Donald Trump say “Putin”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Putin” at 46 of 87 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (53%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=87, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.

37%from settlement history only · n=87counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Putin

Probability
37% · n=87
Settled
46/87 (53%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 55:27In transcript

…him. He lived a tough life for years. And I called Vladimir Putin on Friday and I said, "Will you do me a favor? Give…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 21:05In transcript

…many people that can answer those questions, I'll tell you. But I put in a I wanted to do an executive order where every anybody…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 24:40In transcript

…the stage earlier. But the other day I was talking to Vladimir Putin about settling his war with Ukraine, which I think we're getting closer…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 58:02In transcript

…men. Elon just made a big investment. Uh Michael Dell and Susan put in think of it 6 bill250 million now. 6 bill2 I have…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:19:37In transcript

…I thought that would be the easiest one. The hatred between President Putin and President Zelenskyy is tremendous. I think that's most of the reason…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 18, 2026PutinPolymarketNo0
Oct 13, 2026PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 11, 2026PutinPolymarketYes2
Oct 4, 2026PutinPolymarketNo3 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 27, 2026PutinPolymarketNo0
Sep 22, 2026PutinKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 22, 2026PutinKalshiNo0
Sep 10, 2026PutinKalshiNo0
Aug 23, 2026PutinPolymarketNo0
Aug 16, 2026PutinPolymarketYes1
Jul 31, 2026PutinPolymarketYes–
Jul 28, 2026PutinPolymarketNo–
Jul 8, 2026PutinKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jul 8, 2026PutinKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jun 24, 2026PutinKalshiYes1
Jun 16, 2026PutinKalshiNo0
Jun 16, 2026PutinKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 16, 2026PutinKalshiYes1
Jun 15, 2026PutinPolymarketYes–
Jun 15, 2026PutinKalshiYes1
May 14, 2026PutinKalshiNo–
May 12, 2026PutinKalshiNo–
Apr 8, 2026PutinPolymarketNo–
Mar 22, 2026PutinPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Feb 24, 2026PutinPolymarketNo–
Feb 24, 2026PutinKalshiNo–
Dec 28, 2025PutinPolymarketYes–
Nov 25, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Nov 11, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Nov 8, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Nov 7, 2025PutinPolymarketYes–
Nov 7, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Nov 6, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Nov 6, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Nov 3, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Oct 30, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 30, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 29, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Oct 29, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Oct 29, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 28, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 27, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 24, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 23, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Oct 22, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Oct 21, 2025PutinPolymarketYes–
Oct 21, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 21, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 10, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 9, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Oct 7, 2025PutinPolymarketYes–
Sep 30, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Sep 29, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Sep 29, 2025PutinKalshiNo–
Sep 23, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Sep 18, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Sep 18, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Sep 5, 2025PutinKalshiYes–
Sep 2, 2025PutinKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Putin”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Putin” at 46 of 87 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (53%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Putin” next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=87). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Putin’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/putin (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=putin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP