Donald Trump: Posts, week ending Oct 11, 2026
In the week ending Oct 11, 2026, Donald Trump posted 4 of the 10 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements.
UpdatedMarkets
10 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | Yes | 10 | 11 | ✓ | 69%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 36%n=84 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 78%n=184 from settlement history | – |
| Deranged / Derangement | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 61%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| President Xi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 60%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Vance | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Sanction | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 9%n=58 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownTruth Social posts by @realDonaldTrump, via CNN's public archive · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-10-11:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-10-11:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP