Donald Trump: Posts, week ending Aug 23, 2026
In the week ending Aug 23, 2026, Donald Trump posted 10 of the 14 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 14 settlements.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 14- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime | Yes | 36 | 37 | ✓ | 82%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 42%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 3 | 5 | ✓ | 69%n=176 from settlement history | – |
| Allah | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 2 | 6 | ✓ | 73%n=183 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 48%n=92 from settlement history | – |
| Investigation | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Russia | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 62%n=76 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | Yes | 0 | 2 | ✗ | 52%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | Yes | 0 | 2 | ✗ | 31%n=94 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=78 from settlement history | – |
| Brazil | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 18%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=45 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownTruth Social posts by @realDonaldTrump, via CNN's public archive · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-08-23:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-08-23:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP