Donald Trump: Weekly window, Mar 22, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (March 22)
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Mar 16, 2026 to Mar 22, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
32 words · 18 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 82%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 72%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 65%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wind / Solar | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Medal of Honor | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Roadside Bomb | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hillary / Clinton | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Women's Sports | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| President Xi | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Too Big to Rig | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | – | 0 | 37%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | – | 0 | 32%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Too Late | Yes | – | 0 | 32%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Doug / Burgum | No | – | 0 | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat Shutdown | No | – | 0 | 55%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Armada | No | – | 0 | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Affair | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cure to Cancer | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Egghead | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Finish the Job | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No Inflation | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nancy / Pelosi | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Khamenei | No | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| What's Up | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Claude / Anthropic | No | – | 0 | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Migrant Crime | No | – | 0 | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 29%n=306 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-march-22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP