60 Minutes: Episode, Nov 3, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his interview on 60 Minutes?
Markets
23 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Border | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Schumer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hottest | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trillion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Halloween | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Guard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ballroom | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Soybean | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kamala | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Maduro | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Charlie / Turning Point | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamps | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fentanyl | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKX60MINMENTION-25DEC31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP