Donald Trump: Posts, week ending Sep 27, 2026
In the week ending Sep 27, 2026, Donald Trump posted 5 of the 11 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | 16 | 18 | ✓ | 76%n=182 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 72%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| President Xi | Yes | 5 | 6 | ✓ | 49%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Rigged | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 64%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Deranged / Derangement | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Vance | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Fool | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 45%n=80 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=32 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownTruth Social posts by @realDonaldTrump, via CNN's public archive · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-09-27:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-09-27:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP