Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 10, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the Bilateral meeting with President of Finland?
Markets
20 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 83%n=63 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 65%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | 64%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 63%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Deal | Yes | 62%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | Yes | 62%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | 45%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | Yes | 45%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | Yes | 43%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | Yes | 41%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Hamas | No | 54%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 53%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Helsinki | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nordic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Windmill | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Forest | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Socialist | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Golf | No | 26%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | 22%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | No | 21%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP