Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 21, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during the LSU visit to White House?
Markets
23 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Football | Yes | 46%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Tiger | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Championship | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Home Run | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Louisiana | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tournament | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unbelievable | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Winner | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Series | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | 84%n=74 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 63%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Radical | No | 53%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Russia | No | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 45%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 44%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Big League | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ring | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Guard | No | 41%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Historic | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Schumer | No | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Olympic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Transgender | No | 30%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Woke | No | 29%n=24 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTIONB-25OCT21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP