Will Donald Trump say “Who are you with / Where are you from”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Who are you with / Where are you from” at 35 of 52 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=52, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
63%from settlement history only · n=52Next: Monthly window, Oct 31, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Who are you with / Where are you from
- Probability
- 63% · n=52
- Settled
- 35/52 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Who are you with?
Every settled listing
newest first · 52 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Who Are You With / Where Are You From |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (0 of 8 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Who Are You With / Where Are You From | Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (13 of 14 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 8 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 5 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 17, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 10, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 3, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Who are you with / Where are you from | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Who are you with / Where are you from”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Who are you with / Where are you from” at 35 of 52 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Who are you with / Where are you from” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=52). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Who are you with / Where are you from’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/where-are-you-from-or-who-are-you-with (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=where%20are%20you%20from%20%2F%20who%20are%20you%20with · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP