Donald Trump: Monthly window, Sep 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say in September?
Coverage
42 known appearances30 of 42 known appearances transcribed Window: Sep 1, 2026 to Oct 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 561 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (49 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Sep 2, 2026 Remarks in Meeting With Travel Executives and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Sep 2, 2026 Remarks During a Rose Garden Club Dinner Official transcript
- Sep 3, 2026 Donald Trump: GB News interview transcript pending
- Sep 4, 2026 Remarks on Signing Executive Orders To Promote United States Ranching and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Sep 8, 2026 Remarks at the Tunnel to Towers Foundation's Steel Across America Event Official transcript
- Sep 9, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 9, 2026 Remarks at the Republican National Committee Midterm Convention in Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Donald Trump: Ingraham Angle transcript pending
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks on Signing the Hershel 'Woody' Williams National Medal of Honor Monument Location Act in Arlington, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks at the Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Closing in Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 11, 2026 Donald Trump: Ingraham Angle transcript pending
- Sep 11, 2026 Remarks on the 25th Anniversary of the September 11, 2001, Terrorist Attacks in Arlington, Virginia Official transcript
- Sep 11, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Micheál Martin of Ireland and an Exchange With Reporters in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Following a Visit With President Catherine Connolly of Ireland in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks to United States Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open Trophy Ceremony in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters During the Amgen Irish Open in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters at the Trump International Golf Links and Hotel Doonbeg in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Shannon, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 16, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival in Charlotte, North Carolina Official transcript
- Sep 17, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Virginia Republican Congressional Candidates Representatives Robert J. Wittman, Jennifer Kiggans, and John McGuire Official transcript
- Sep 17, 2026 Donald Trump: Tele-rally with Rob Wittman transcript pending
- Sep 17, 2026 Remarks at a Rose Garden Club Dinner Official transcript
- Sep 18, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement on healthcare transcript pending
- Sep 21, 2026 Donald Trump: Ribbon Cutting Ceremony transcript pending
- Sep 21, 2026 Remarks Following a Meeting With Mayor Zohran K. Mamdani of New York City and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks Following a Meeting With Prime Minister Andy Burnham of the United Kingdom and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi of Japan and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks During a Trilateral Signing Ceremony With Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen of Denmark and Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of Greenland and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival at United Nations Headquarters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 23, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Evening remarks with Xi Jinping transcript pending
- Sep 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks at Xi Jinping's state arrival transcript pending
- Sep 28, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Sep 29, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium transcript pending
- Sep 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Sep 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration transcript pending
Markets
28 words · 21 settled yes · our count agreed on 18 of 18- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deal / Settle / Settled | Yes | 94 | 128 | ✓ | 68%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | Yes | 23 | 43 | ✓ | 53%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | Yes | 6 | 7 | ✓ | 67%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 73%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Age | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 68%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Genius | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 75%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 73%n=166 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 65%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 61%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 65%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 65%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Pelosi | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 60%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 16%n=101 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 71%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Fat shot / Ozempic | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 56%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Filibuster | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 43%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Antifa | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 32%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Moon | Yes | – | 1 | – | 56%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | Yes | – | 0 | – | 53%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Third Term | Yes | – | 0 | – | 48%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Cognitive | No | – | 0 | – | 66%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Peptide | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | – | 49%n=77 from settlement history | – |
| Make Iran Great Again | No | – | 0 | – | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | – | 33%n=131 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | – | 0 | – | 26%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | – | 0 | – | 15%n=25 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26OCT01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP