Donald Trump: Monthly window, Jun 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this month?
Coverage
40 known appearances30 of 40 known appearances transcribed Window: Jun 1, 2026 to Jul 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 586 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (59 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Jun 3, 2026 Remarks at an Executive Order Signing Ceremony and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 4, 2026 Remarks on Coal and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 5, 2026 Remarks in a Roundtable Discussion on Agriculture in Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin Official transcript
- Jun 5, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Eau Claire, Wisconsin Official transcript
- Jun 7, 2026 Donald Trump: Meet the Press no transcript source yet
- Jun 8, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Lindsey O. Graham and Gubernatorial Candidate Lieutenant Governor Pamela S. Evette of South Carolina Official transcript
- Jun 9, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From New York City Official transcript
- Jun 10, 2026 Remarks on Signing the Secure America Act and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 11, 2026 Donald Trump: Tele-Rallies on June 11 transcript pending
- Jun 11, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Alabama Republican Senatorial Candidate Representative F. Barry Moore Official transcript
- Jun 11, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Georgia Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Lieutenant Governor W. Burton "Burt" Jones Official transcript
- Jun 11, 2026 Remarks on Signing a Proclamation To Restore United States Commercial Fishing in the Pacific and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 13, 2026 Donald Trump: Podcast with The Second Lady no transcript source yet
- Jun 14, 2026 Donald Trump: UFC Freedom 250 transcript pending
- Jun 15, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Emmanuel Macron of France and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 15, 2026 Donald Trump: G7 events transcript pending
- Jun 16, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Amir Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and Prime Minister Muhammad bin Abd Al-Rahman Al Thani of Qatar and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 16, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan of the United Arab Emirates and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 16, 2026 Donald Trump: Working Lunch with G7 Leaders transcript pending
- Jun 17, 2026 The President's News Conference in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 17, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Abdelfattah Said Elsisi of Egypt and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 17, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France Official transcript
- Jun 17, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival in Orly, France Official transcript
- Jun 17, 2026 Donald Trump: Working lunch with G7 Leaders and Tech CEOs transcript pending
- Jun 18, 2026 Remarks on Presenting the Medal of Honor to Major James Capers, Jr., USMC (Ret.), Major Nicholas Dockery, USA (Ret.), and Posthumously to Colonel John W. Ripley, USMC Official transcript
- Jun 19, 2026 Remarks During a Greeting With United States Servicemembers at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Jun 20, 2026 Donald Trump: Axios Show no transcript source yet
- Jun 22, 2026 Remarks on Signing Executive Orders on Quantum Technologies and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 23, 2026 Remarks on Affordability in Macungie, Pennsylvania Official transcript
- Jun 23, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival in Reading, Pennsylvania Official transcript
- Jun 24, 2026 Donald Trump: America is Back Rally no transcript source yet
- Jun 24, 2026 Remarks at the Great American State Fair Official transcript
- Jun 24, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Secretary General Mark Rutte of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Road to Housing Act signing transcript pending
- Jun 24, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to a Senate Republican Steering Committee Lunch Official transcript
- Jun 25, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Louisiana Republican Senatorial Candidate Representative Julia Letlow Official transcript
- Jun 25, 2026 Remarks at a Rose Garden Club Dinner With Farmers Official transcript
- Jun 26, 2026 Remarks at the Faith and Freedom Coalition 2026 Policy Conference Official transcript
- Jun 26, 2026 Remarks Following the Presentation of a Religious Liberty Commission Report and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jun 29, 2026 Remarks on Signing a Memorandum on Lowering the Cost of Living by Promoting the Freedom To Fix and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
Markets
33 words · 24 settled yes · our count agreed on 24 of 24- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 27 | 28 | ✓ | 81%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| Genius | Yes | 18 | 19 | ✓ | 73%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Dead Country | Yes | 14 | 14 | ✓ | 63%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | Yes | 12 | 12 | ✓ | 61%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 65%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | Yes | 10 | 17 | ✓ | 57%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Golden Age | Yes | 9 | 10 | ✓ | 52%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 68%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 6 | 13 | ✓ | 59%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Palestine / Palestinian | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 59%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| DEI / Woke | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 59%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Moon | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 56%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | Yes | 4 | 13 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 54%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 43%n=116 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 71%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 55%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Cognitive | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 50%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 67%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 65%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Pelosi | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 63%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Fat shot / Ozempic | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 47%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | Yes | 1 | 4 | ✓ | 42%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Third Term | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 38%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | No | – | 0 | – | 66%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Nine War / Ninth War | No | – | 0 | – | 64%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Kimmel | No | – | 0 | – | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | – | 0 | – | 51%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Make Iran Great Again | No | – | 0 | – | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Goat | No | – | 0 | – | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein Island | No | – | 0 | – | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Moscow | No | – | 0 | – | 42%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | – | 34%n=384 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUL01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP