Donald Trump: Monthly window, Aug 31, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say this month?
Coverage
36 known appearances25 of 36 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 1, 2026 to Sep 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 870 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (102 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Aug 2, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Aug 3, 2026 Remarks on Signing the Executive Order Establishing the President's Military Spouse Commission and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 4, 2026 Donald Trump: Fox News at Night no transcript source yet
- Aug 4, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Aug 4, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Los Angeles, California Official transcript
- Aug 5, 2026 Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada Official transcript
- Aug 6, 2026 Donald Trump: Punchbowl News interview transcript pending
- Aug 6, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Wyoming Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Megan Degenfelder Official transcript
- Aug 6, 2026 Remarks at a Reception for United States Olympic and Paralympic Athletes and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 6, 2026 Remarks Following a Document Signing Ceremony on Semiconductor Supply and Citizenship and Immigration and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 7, 2026 Remarks During a Roundtable Discussion on United States Mining at the Department of State Official transcript
- Aug 10, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone Official transcript
- Aug 10, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Wisconsin Republican Congressional Candidate Michael Alfonso Official transcript
- Aug 10, 2026 Remarks on Signing an Executive Order on Childhood Vaccine Schedule Recommendations and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 11, 2026 Donald Trump: Real America's Voice interview transcript pending
- Aug 11, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Aug 13, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Aug 14, 2026 Remarks on Law Enforcement in Garden City, New York Official transcript
- Aug 14, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Aug 17, 2026 Remarks During a Greeting With California State Parks Lifeguard Ryder Williams and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 19, 2026 Remarks on the Construction of the South Lawn Helipad and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 19, 2026 Remarks in a Meeting With Technology Leaders and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 20, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks in the White House Rose Garden transcript pending
- Aug 21, 2026 Remarks at a Campaign Rally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina Official transcript
- Aug 21, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Aug 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Tele-Rallies on August 24 transcript pending
- Aug 24, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone Official transcript
- Aug 24, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Mike Mazzei Official transcript
- Aug 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Rose Garden event transcript pending
- Aug 24, 2026 Remarks at a White House Back-to-School Event Official transcript
- Aug 25, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Aug 27, 2026 Remarks on Signing an Executive Order Honoring the American History of the Great Lakes and Renaming Lake Ontario as Lake America and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Aug 28, 2026 Remarks During a Teleconference With National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Astronauts Aboard the International Space Station From Houston, Texas Official transcript
- Aug 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Sunday Night in America transcript pending
- Aug 31, 2026 Donald Trump: Healthcare affordability announcement transcript pending
- Aug 31, 2026 Remarks on Efforts To Reduce Prescription Drug Prices and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
Markets
31 words · 22 settled yes · our count agreed on 21 of 21- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Age | Yes | 28 | 29 | ✓ | 64%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| DEI / Woke | Yes | 16 | 18 | ✓ | 65%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Space Force | Yes | 14 | 15 | ✓ | 60%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Moon | Yes | 14 | 18 | ✓ | 59%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | 12 | 27 | ✓ | 36%n=466 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | Yes | 11 | 20 | ✓ | 46%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Genius | Yes | 9 | 12 | ✓ | 73%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 67%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | Yes | 8 | 9 | ✓ | 63%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 80%n=141 from settlement history | – |
| Palestine / Palestinian | Yes | 5 | 10 | ✓ | 69%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 56%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | 2 | 6 | ✓ | 70%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 70%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Pelosi | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 60%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Filibuster | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 52%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 43%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Antifa | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 37%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 70%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Cognitive | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 61%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Fat shot / Ozempic | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 57%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | Yes | – | 4 | – | 58%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | – | 0 | – | 59%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | No | – | 1 | – | 56%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Third Term | No | – | 1 | – | 47%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Nine War / Ninth War | No | – | 0 | – | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | – | 2 | – | 42%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Make Iran Great Again | No | – | 1 | – | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | – | 0 | – | 39%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | – | 35%n=128 from settlement history | – |
| UFO / UAP | No | – | 0 | – | 23%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26SEP01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP