Donald Trump: Monthly window, Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say in September?
Coverage
42 known appearances30 of 42 known appearances transcribed Window: Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Sep 2, 2026 Remarks in Meeting With Travel Executives and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Sep 2, 2026 Remarks During a Rose Garden Club Dinner Official transcript
- Sep 3, 2026 Donald Trump: GB News interview transcript pending
- Sep 4, 2026 Remarks on Signing Executive Orders To Promote United States Ranching and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Sep 8, 2026 Remarks at the Tunnel to Towers Foundation's Steel Across America Event Official transcript
- Sep 9, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 9, 2026 Remarks at the Republican National Committee Midterm Convention in Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Donald Trump: Ingraham Angle transcript pending
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks on Signing the Hershel 'Woody' Williams National Medal of Honor Monument Location Act in Arlington, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks at the Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Closing in Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 11, 2026 Donald Trump: Ingraham Angle transcript pending
- Sep 11, 2026 Remarks on the 25th Anniversary of the September 11, 2001, Terrorist Attacks in Arlington, Virginia Official transcript
- Sep 11, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Micheál Martin of Ireland and an Exchange With Reporters in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Following a Visit With President Catherine Connolly of Ireland in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks to United States Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open Trophy Ceremony in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters During the Amgen Irish Open in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters at the Trump International Golf Links and Hotel Doonbeg in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Shannon, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 16, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival in Charlotte, North Carolina Official transcript
- Sep 17, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Virginia Republican Congressional Candidates Representatives Robert J. Wittman, Jennifer Kiggans, and John McGuire Official transcript
- Sep 17, 2026 Donald Trump: Tele-rally with Rob Wittman transcript pending
- Sep 17, 2026 Remarks at a Rose Garden Club Dinner Official transcript
- Sep 18, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement on healthcare transcript pending
- Sep 21, 2026 Donald Trump: Ribbon Cutting Ceremony transcript pending
- Sep 21, 2026 Remarks Following a Meeting With Mayor Zohran K. Mamdani of New York City and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks Following a Meeting With Prime Minister Andy Burnham of the United Kingdom and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi of Japan and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks During a Trilateral Signing Ceremony With Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen of Denmark and Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of Greenland and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival at United Nations Headquarters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 23, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Evening remarks with Xi Jinping transcript pending
- Sep 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks at Xi Jinping's state arrival transcript pending
- Sep 28, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Sep 29, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium transcript pending
- Sep 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Sep 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration transcript pending
Markets
28 words · 16 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Through the Roof | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 63%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Who Are You With / Where Are You From | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 61%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Teleprompter | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 44%n=64 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 44%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Pelosi | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 60%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 60%n=166 from settlement history | – |
| Slob | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Central Casting | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 37%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Future President | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 64%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ass | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 59%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 59%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Shit | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Soaking Wet | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Antifa | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 26%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Dancing in the Street | Yes | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump Derangement Syndrome | No | – | 0 | – | 70%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Predict / Prediction | No | – | 0 | – | 63%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Printer / Printing | No | – | 1 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Seizure | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Javelin | No | – | 0 | – | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gay | No | – | 0 | – | 48%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| China Virus | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sucker | No | – | 0 | – | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Darth Vader | No | – | 0 | – | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Let Me Finish | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | – | 2 | – | 36%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | – | 22%n=131 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
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