Will Donald Trump say “Peace in the Middle East”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Peace in the Middle East” at 9 of 57 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 10, 2025 (16%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 6% (n=57, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

6%from settlement history only · n=57Next: Rally, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
1¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=peace%20in%20the%20middle%20east

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Peace in the Middle East

Probability
6% · n=57
Settled
9/57 (16%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not said

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not said

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · settled no

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 58 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 24, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo0
Oct 23, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo0
Oct 22, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo0
Oct 21, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo0
Oct 20, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 18, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
Oct 17, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 16, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 13, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 12, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 11, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 7 known appearances transcribed))
Oct 9, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 7, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 5, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Oct 4, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (0 of 8 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 30, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (30 of 42 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 27, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 11 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 24, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Sep 24, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Sep 22, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo0
Sep 22, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo0
Sep 20, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 13, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (16 of 18 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 6, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 31, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (25 of 36 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 30, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 23, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 16, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 8 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 9, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 2, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (10 of 15 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 28, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jul 26, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiYes1
Jul 19, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (8 of 12 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 8, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo0
May 3, 2026Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Apr 6, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Apr 1, 2026Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketNo–
Apr 1, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Mar 23, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Mar 17, 2026Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketNo–
Mar 17, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Mar 15, 2026Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window))
Mar 4, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Mar 3, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiYes–
Mar 2, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiNo–
Feb 6, 2026Peace in the Middle EastKalshiYes–
Jan 22, 2026Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketYes–
Jan 4, 2026Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Dec 22, 2025Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketNo–
Dec 17, 2025Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketNo–
Dec 4, 2025Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketNo–
Nov 19, 2025Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketYes–
Nov 12, 2025Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketNo–
Oct 13, 2025Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketYes–
Oct 13, 2025Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketYes–
Oct 10, 2025Peace in the Middle EastPolymarketYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Peace in the Middle East”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Peace in the Middle East” at 9 of 57 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 10, 2025 (16%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Peace in the Middle East” next time?
6%, from settlement history (n=57). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Peace in the Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/peace-in-the-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=peace%20in%20the%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP