Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 10, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during announcement today?
Markets
13 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hottest | Yes | 46%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Knesset | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel / Prize | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times | Yes | 24%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | 57%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 44%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Biden 4+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cognitive | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maria / Corina / Machado | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hell 3+ times | No | 38%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=133 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-announcement-today-127 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP