Donald Trump: Meeting with Netanyahu, Jul 28, 2026
In remarks on Jul 28, 2026, Donald Trump said 0 of the 32 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
32 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela | No | 70%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | No | 70%n=114 from settlement history | – |
| Deal / Settle | No | 69%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 68%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 5+ times | No | 60%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 58%n=310 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 56%n=207 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 54%n=148 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheated / Cheater / Cheating | No | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | No | 50%n=136 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 50%n=299 from settlement history | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 47%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi | No | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 45%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Hamas | No | 45%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 43%n=139 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 42%n=187 from settlement history | – |
| Gaza / Palestine / Palestinian | No | 41%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Soleimani | No | 41%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Chuck / Schumer | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 37%n=204 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 37%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 36%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Blockade | No | 35%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | 33%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 32%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | 30%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | No | 29%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Lebanon | No | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | 19%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 12%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=456 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
Transcript overdue. We expected it from the official transcript (American Presidency Project); it has not appeared yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-07-28:remarks-meeting-netanyahu · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-07-28:remarks-meeting-netanyahu · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP