Donald Trump: Posts window, Mar 15, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump post this week? (March 9 - March 15)
Coverage
0 known appearancesevery post in the window Window: Mar 9, 2026 to Mar 15, 2026. Counts: post text (reposts excluded; image text counts). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
30 words · 14 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President DJT | Yes | – | 0 | 61%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | – | 0 | 59%n=114 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=78 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SOTU / State of the Union | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsement | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wall Street | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| DOJ | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| My Great Honor | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Harvard | Yes | – | 0 | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba | Yes | – | 0 | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 27%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Epic Fury | No | – | 0 | 49%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | – | 0 | 48%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| MIGA / Make Iran Great Again | No | – | 0 | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Spain | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ass | No | – | 0 | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| DHS | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God Bless America | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Markwayne / Mullin | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Most Powerful Military | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Revolutionary Guard | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Winston Churchill | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Department of Defense / DoD | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | – | 0 | 42%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Panican | No | – | 0 | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Stupid | No | – | 0 | 40%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 18%n=298 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-post-this-week-march-9-march-15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP