Donald Trump: Weekly window, May 3, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (May 3)
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
21 words · 17 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 77%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 68%n=104 from settlement history | – |
| Drill baby drill | Yes | – | 0 | 62%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| TrumpRX | Yes | – | 0 | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Justice | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Golf / Golfer | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=65 from settlement history | – |
| Jerome Too Late | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Language | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pouring Into Our Country | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lunatic | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Scotland | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alaska | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Paper tiger | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Marble / Granite | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| My Father / My Mother | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | – | 0 | 41%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Failing New York Times | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Harry | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peacemaker | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | – | 0 | 41%n=21 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-may-3 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP