Will Donald Trump say “TikTok”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “TikTok” at 18 of 66 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 19, 2025 (27%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=66, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

43%from settlement history only · n=66Next: Monthly window, Oct 31, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tiktok

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

TikTok

Probability
43% · n=66
Settled
18/66 (27%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 31, 2026TikTokKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (5 of 31 known appearances transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window))
Sep 30, 2026TikTokKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (30 of 42 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 31, 2026TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (25 of 36 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 30, 2026TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 23, 2026TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (5 of 6 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 16, 2026TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (6 of 8 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 9, 2026TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed))
Aug 2, 2026TikTokKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (10 of 15 known appearances transcribed))
Jul 31, 2026TikTokKalshiYes29
Jul 26, 2026TikTokPolymarketYes7
Jul 26, 2026TikTokKalshiYes7
Jul 19, 2026TikTokKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (8 of 12 known appearances transcribed))
May 14, 2026TikTokPolymarketNo–
May 14, 2026TikTokKalshiNo–
May 12, 2026TikTokKalshiNo–
Apr 17, 2026TikTokPolymarketNo–
Apr 17, 2026TikTokKalshiNo–
Mar 13, 2026TikTokKalshiYes–
Mar 1, 2026TikTokPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Feb 8, 2026TikTokPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Jan 29, 2026TikTokPolymarketNo–
Jan 25, 2026TikTokKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (1 of 1 known appearance transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window))
Jan 18, 2026TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Jan 12, 2026TikTokKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Jan 5, 2026TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 29, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 22, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 20, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Dec 20, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Dec 15, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 8, 2025TikTokKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Dec 1, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 24, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 17, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 10, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 3, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Nov 2, 2025TikTokPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Oct 30, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Oct 29, 2025TikTokPolymarketNo–
Oct 27, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 20, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 20, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 17, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Oct 16, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Oct 13, 2025TikTokKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 6, 2025TikTokKalshiNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Oct 1, 2025TikTokKalshiYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window))
Sep 30, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Sep 29, 2025TikTokPolymarketNo–
Sep 29, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Sep 29, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Sep 25, 2025TikTokPolymarketNo–
Sep 22, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Sep 21, 2025TikTokPolymarketNo–
Sep 21, 2025TikTokKalshiNo–
Sep 18, 2025TikTokPolymarketYes–
Sep 18, 2025TikTokKalshiYes–
Sep 15, 2025TikTokKalshiYes–
Jun 27, 2025TikTokPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Apr 10, 2025TikTokPolymarketNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “TikTok”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “TikTok” at 18 of 66 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 19, 2025 (27%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “TikTok” next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=66). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘TikTok’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tiktok (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tiktok · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP