Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 29, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Xi events on October 29?
Markets
21 words · 0 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | No | 66%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Modi | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | No | 53%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 3+ times | No | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 52%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Mineral | No | 49%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Submarine | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden 2+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Farmer | No | 45%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Chip | No | 45%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Taiwan | No | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| China 5+ times | No | 44%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Soybean | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Viktor / Orbán | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fair relationship | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hungary / Budapest | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nixon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 27%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| TikTok | No | 23%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=154 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-xi-bilateral-on-october-29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP