Donald Trump: Monthly window, Jul 31, 2026

By Jul 31Monthly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

53 known appearances
39 of 53 known appearances transcribed Window: Jul 1, 2026 to Aug 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 612 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (92 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

26 words · 17 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
TikTok Yes2949✓33%n=54 from settlement history–
General Motors / GM Yes2024✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Dell Yes1819✓56%n=7 from settlement history–
Micron / MU Yes1718✓–new new word, no probability yet–
New York Times / NYT Yes1120✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Boeing / BA Yes1114✓56%n=13 from settlement history–
Fox News Yes913✓–new new word, no probability yet–
CNN Yes78✓54%n=5 from settlement history–
Meta Yes67✓57%n=2 from settlement history–
Nvidia / NVDA Yes67✓54%n=14 from settlement history–
Intel / INTC Yes67✓54%n=2 from settlement history–
Google / GOOG / GOOGL Yes58✓58%n=5 from settlement history–
Deere / DE Yes37✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Apple / AAPL Yes34✓55%n=12 from settlement history–
Amazon / AMZN Yes23✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
TSMC / TSM Yes12✓56%n=2 from settlement history–
SpaceX / SPCX Yes110✓49%n=4 from settlement history–
Airbnb / ABNB No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
ExxonMobil / XOM No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Pfizer / PFE No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Microsoft / MSFT No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Tesla / TSLA No–0–53%n=14 from settlement history–
DoorDash / DASH No–0–52%n=3 from settlement history–
Rigetti / RGTI No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
ChatGPT / OpenAI No–1–46%n=2 from settlement history–
Anthropic / Claude No–1–46%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP