Donald Trump: Remarks, Sep 25, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during events with Turkish president on September 25?
Markets
18 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| NATO | Yes | 55%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Seven Wars | Yes | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | Yes | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Syria | Yes | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Turkey 8+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| F-35 | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine / Russia 7+ times | Yes | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 5+ times | Yes | 30%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest Country | No | 61%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Biden 5+ times | No | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Kurd / Kurdish | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok | No | 37%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Charlie / Kirk | No | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 2+ times | No | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 32%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | 25%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 4%n=125 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-events-with-turkish-president-on-september-25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP