Donald Trump: Remarks, Apr 10, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting on April 10?
Markets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| President Xi | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Japan | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NAFTA | Yes | 42%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | Yes | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Joe / Biden 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Make a Deal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China 10+ times | Yes | 38%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Apple | No | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Panican | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok | No | 35%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Recession | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 20+ times | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=77 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-cabinet-meeting-on-april-10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP