Donald Trump: Monthly window, Aug 31, 2026

By Aug 31Monthly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

36 known appearances
25 of 36 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 1, 2026 to Sep 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 870 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (102 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

29 words · 16 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Fox News Yes3238✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Intel / INTC Yes1010✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Google / GOOG / GOOGL Yes67✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
CNN Yes612✓62%n=6 from settlement history–
New York Times / NYT Yes516✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Dell Yes44✓65%n=9 from settlement history–
Apple / AAPL Yes45✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Toyota Yes44✓53%n=7 from settlement history–
Amazon / AMZN Yes33✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Micron / MU Yes33✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
General Motors / GM Yes24✓63%n=2 from settlement history–
Nvidia / NVDA Yes11✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
ExxonMobil / XOM Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Pfizer / PFE Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Microsoft / MSFT Yes–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Boeing Yes–1–54%n=12 from settlement history–
Meta No11✗64%n=3 from settlement history–
TSMC / TSM No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
SpaceX / SPCX No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Deere No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Airbnb / ABNB No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
TikTok No–0–57%n=59 from settlement history–
BlackRock No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Verizon No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Tesla / TSLA No–0–54%n=14 from settlement history–
DoorDash / DASH No–0–53%n=3 from settlement history–
Rigetti / RGTI No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Anthropic / Claude No–1–45%n=4 from settlement history–
ChatGPT / OpenAI No–1–44%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP