Will Donald Trump say “Kamala”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kamala” at 40 of 70 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 15, 2024 (57%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=70, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 1 time.

61%from settlement history only · n=70Next: Rally, Oct 23, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Kamala

Probability
61% · n=70
Settled
40/70 (57%)
Latest transcripts
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Donald Trumpspeaker57:31In transcript

…here. You know he he never heard from the borders. That was Kamala. She was appointed borders by Sleepy Joe. And I said, "Did you…

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not said

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · settled yes

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 23, 2026KamalaKalshiYes–
Oct 22, 2026KamalaKalshiYes1
Oct 21, 2026KamalaKalshiNo0
Oct 20, 2026KamalaKalshiYes–
Oct 19, 2026KamalaKalshiYes–
Oct 18, 2026KamalaKalshiYes1
Oct 17, 2026KamalaKalshiNo–
Oct 16, 2026KamalaKalshiYes–
Oct 14, 2026KamalaKalshiNo–
Oct 14, 2026KamalaKalshiNo–
Oct 13, 2026KamalaKalshiYes–
Oct 12, 2026KamalaKalshiYes–
Oct 11, 2026KamalaKalshiYes0
Oct 9, 2026KamalaKalshiYes–
Oct 7, 2026KamalaKalshiYes–
Oct 5, 2026KamalaKalshiYes–
Oct 4, 2026KamalaKalshiYes0
Sep 30, 2026KamalaKalshiYes5
Sep 27, 2026KamalaKalshiNo0
Sep 20, 2026KamalaKalshiYes1
Sep 16, 2026KamalaKalshiYes0
Sep 13, 2026KamalaKalshiYes2
Sep 10, 2026KamalaKalshiNo0
Sep 9, 2026KamalaKalshiNo0
Sep 6, 2026KamalaKalshiYes2
Aug 31, 2026KamalaKalshiYes4
Aug 30, 2026KamalaKalshiYes0
Aug 23, 2026KamalaKalshiYes0
Aug 21, 2026KamalaPolymarketNo0
Aug 16, 2026KamalaKalshiYes1
Aug 14, 2026KamalaPolymarketYes1
Aug 14, 2026KamalaKalshiYes1
Aug 9, 2026KamalaKalshiYes3
Aug 2, 2026KamalaKalshiYes1
Jul 31, 2026KamalaKalshiYes13
Jul 24, 2026KamalaKalshiYes3
Jul 22, 2026KamalaKalshiNo0
Jul 16, 2026KamalaKalshiNo0
Jul 4, 2026KamalaKalshiNo–
Jun 24, 2026KamalaKalshiNo–
Jun 23, 2026KamalaPolymarketNo0
May 24, 2026KamalaPolymarketYes0
May 10, 2026KamalaPolymarketNo0
Apr 30, 2026KamalaPolymarketYes0
Apr 26, 2026KamalaPolymarketYes0
Apr 20, 2026KamalaKalshiNo–
Apr 17, 2026KamalaPolymarketNo–
Apr 17, 2026KamalaKalshiNo–
Apr 16, 2026KamalaKalshiNo–
Mar 26, 2026KamalaPolymarketYes–
Mar 8, 2026KamalaPolymarketNo0
Feb 27, 2026KamalaPolymarketNo–
Feb 24, 2026KamalaKalshiNo–
Feb 8, 2026KamalaPolymarketYes0
Jan 27, 2026KamalaPolymarketYes–
Dec 15, 2025KamalaPolymarketNo–
Nov 18, 2025KamalaPolymarketNo–
Nov 17, 2025KamalaPolymarketYes–
Nov 3, 2025KamalaKalshiNo–
Nov 2, 2025KamalaPolymarketNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Kamala”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kamala” at 40 of 70 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 15, 2024 (57%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kamala” next time?
61%, from settlement history (n=70). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kamala’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/kamala (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=kamala · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP