Donald Trump: Appearance, Feb 27, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say in Corpus Christi on February 27?
Markets
31 words · 22 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 67%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 60%n=110 from settlement history | – |
| Green New Scam | Yes | 59%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | 56%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Iowa | Yes | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 52%n=118 from settlement history | – |
| Overtime / Social Security | Yes | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 49%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Dow | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | 47%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Tax 3+ times | Yes | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Affordability | Yes | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Texas | Yes | 45%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Border 4+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden 6+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hell 6+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| State of the Union | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | 42%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Alien | Yes | 41%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Voter ID / VoterID | Yes | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | No | 67%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Mental institution | No | 65%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 52%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | No | 50%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Job 20+ times | No | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Electricity | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | 40%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Coal | No | 36%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 15%n=284 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-corpus-christi-on-february-27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP