Donald Trump: Weekly window, May 10, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (May 10)
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: May 4, 2026 to May 10, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
19 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 69%n=109 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | Yes | – | 0 | 59%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Television / TV | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Scam / Fraud | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Uncle | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| President Xi | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Jimmy / Kimmel | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – | 0 | 42%n=138 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | No | – | 0 | 58%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Autopen | No | – | 0 | 56%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Wall Street | No | – | 0 | 54%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Mob / Mafia | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ruckus | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Train | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| My father | No | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Regarded | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Daddy | No | – | 0 | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cocaine | No | – | 0 | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-may-10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP