Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 18, 2025

Tue, Nov 18RemarksHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Markets

23 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Two Weeks Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Apple / Nvidia No48%n=19 from settlement history–
Kamala No45%n=13 from settlement history–
Transgender No41%n=37 from settlement history–
None of the above No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase A No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase B No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase C No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase D No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase E No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase F No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase G No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase H No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase I No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase J No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase K No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase L No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase M No–new new word, no probability yet–
Phrase N No–new new word, no probability yet–
Erdogan No39%n=4 from settlement history–
Low IQ No34%n=4 from settlement history–
Rare Earth No30%n=7 from settlement history–
Crypto / Bitcoin No6%n=183 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-first-during-saudi-pm-events-on-november-18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP