60 Minutes: Episode, Nov 2, 2025

Sun, Nov 2EpisodeHistory only60 Minutes

Updated

Markets

25 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Nuclear 2+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Biden 5+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Crypto / Bitcoin Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Crooked Hillary No–new new word, no probability yet–
Hottest No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ballroom No–new new word, no probability yet–
AOC / Crockett No–new new word, no probability yet–
FCC No–new new word, no probability yet–
Landslide No–new new word, no probability yet–
Larry / Oracle No–new new word, no probability yet–
Mar-a-Lago No–new new word, no probability yet–
News / Media 10+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Radical Left 2+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
SNAP No–new new word, no probability yet–
Terrible / Horrible 6+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Woke / Politically Correct No–new new word, no probability yet–
Soy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Charlie / Kirk No–new new word, no probability yet–
Kamala No–new new word, no probability yet–
Paramount No–new new word, no probability yet–
Low IQ No–new new word, no probability yet–
Hoax No–new new word, no probability yet–
Autopen No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tractor open––

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-60-minutes-on-november-2 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP