Donald Trump: Weekly window, May 24, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (May 24)
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
27 words · 20 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Chair | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Stupid person | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Boeing | Yes | – | 0 | 56%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Dumbocrat / Dumocrat | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Cookie | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Xi | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Bridge | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=155 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Camera | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pool / Pond | Yes | – | 0 | 49%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi Arabia | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Jesus / Christ | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Space / Moon | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cuba | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Restaurant | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drone | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Khamenei / Khomeini | No | – | 0 | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Comrade | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Super Bowl | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| No No No | No | – | 0 | 48%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Mamdani | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Traitor | No | – | 0 | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | – | 0 | 37%n=112 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-may-24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP